TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 3:27 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Luca Potenza. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Luca Potenza in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Marrero Curbelo' if Ivan Marrero Curbelo advances against Luca Potenza. This market will resolve to 'Luca Potenza' if Luca Potenza advances against Ivan Marrero Curbelo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market's odds are driven by real-money wagers. If sportsbooks and this market disagree, it can indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Marrero vs Potenza match. Discrepancies can arise from information advantages held by traders or differing interpretations of available data, and can be a signal for potential value.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Marrero vs Potenza match, as determined by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the Marrero vs Potenza match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in other matches leading up to this event might also impact expectations. Significant betting activity, even outside of Polymarket, could also cause price fluctuations as traders react to perceived information or momentum shifts. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into potential market movements.