TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:30 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Rocha and Lui Maxted in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Francisco Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Rocha and Lui Maxted in the Porto 2, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 10:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Rocha' if Francisco Rocha advances against Lui Maxted. This market will resolve to 'Lui Maxted' if Lui Maxted advances against Francisco Rocha. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective intelligence of traders on Polymarket, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market evolves as more information becomes available and more people participate. Differences can emerge due to varying levels of information and differing opinions among bettors and traders.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Francisco Rocha vs Lui Maxted match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches and following its completion to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding the condition of either fighter, Francisco Rocha or Lui Maxted, such as injuries or changes in training regimens, could significantly impact the market. Updates on their recent performance, fight strategies, or even pre-match interviews could also sway trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the event itself, like venue changes or alterations to the fight card, might also lead to fluctuations in this market’s price.