TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event measures the point differential between Portland and Washington in their June 28, 2026 women's professional basketball game. Bettors predict whether one team will win by a margin exceeding various point spreads, with outcomes covering both a Washington victory and a Portland victory across different margin thresholds.
The Portland vs Washington women's professional basketball game scheduled for June 28, 2026 will be evaluated based on the final point differential between the two teams. Ten distinct outcomes cover various winning margin scenarios: Washington victories by more than 15.5, 12.5, 9.5, 6.5, 3.5, or 1.5 points, and Portland victories by more than 1.5, 3.5, 6.5, or 9.5 points. Each outcome resolves independently based on the official final score differential. Resolution requires determining which team wins and by how many points, comparing the actual margin to the specified threshold for each outcome. Ties or games that do not meet the specified margin requirements for a given outcome would resolve to No for that particular outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margins, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show different probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly if one venue has sharper information or different liquidity. Comparing the two can reveal where sophisticated traders see value relative to conventional betting lines, though both should be monitored for the most complete picture of market expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The leading outcome—Washington wins by over 6.5 points—reflects the aggregated belief of all active traders at any given moment. As new information emerges or trading volume shifts, the price adjusts in real time. Participants can place limit or market orders to express their view, and the platform matches buyers and sellers transparently, ensuring prices remain competitive and responsive to changing expectations.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the Portland versus Washington game concludes and the final spread is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by the official final score and the specified point-spread threshold. Traders holding contracts on the winning side will receive their payout, while those on the losing side will receive nothing. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion, allowing the market to settle quickly and fairly based on the actual result.
Key catalysts that could shift this market include player injuries, roster changes, or unexpected trades announced before game day. Weather conditions, travel delays, or coaching decisions may also influence trader sentiment. Breaking news about team performance, recent wins or losses, or head-to-head matchup analysis could trigger significant price movement. As Jun 28, 2026 approaches, late-breaking information—such as starting lineup confirmations or last-minute strategic adjustments—often drives final repricing. Traders monitor sports media, team announcements, and betting trends closely to stay ahead of these developments.