TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 12:46 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 2.5 goals will be scored in the Portland vs Salt Lake MLS soccer match. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome is 99.0%. The resolution source is based on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Watch for the match conclusion on July 25, 2026, as this is the key catalyst that will determine the market outcome.
Resolution is based on the total combined goals scored by both teams during the Portland vs Real Salt Lake professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The event includes multiple threshold outcomes at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed its respective threshold, and No otherwise. All goal counts are final as recorded at the conclusion of regulation play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief—there is no house edge or vig. On this market, you may notice prediction odds shift faster than sportsbook lines during breaking news or lineup changes, since traders react immediately without the friction of traditional bookmaking. Both sources offer value, but prediction markets tend to aggregate dispersed information more efficiently over time.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for total goals contracts. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Your trade executes at the best available price, and the mid-market level reflects the consensus forecast at any moment. As new information emerges—team news, weather, injury reports—traders adjust their orders, and the price moves to reflect updated expectations. This real-time repricing ensures the market stays current and competitive throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the Portland vs Salt Lake match concludes and the final goal total is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the combined goals scored by both teams during regulation time. No additional criteria or adjustments apply; the resolution is straightforward and based on the official match result. Traders can follow live score updates as the event unfolds to track how their positions are tracking.
Team news—injuries to key strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts—can significantly reprrice this market. Weather conditions on match day, such as rain or wind, often influence goal-scoring patterns. Recent form and head-to-head history also matter; a streak of high-scoring games between these teams would push odds toward higher totals. Betting market moves and sharp money flowing into sportsbooks can signal where informed traders see value. Monitor pre-match press conferences and official team communications for clues that might shift the crowd's expectations before kickoff.