TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether more than 3.5 goals will be scored in total during the Portland versus Dallas MLS soccer match. On Kalshi, the current probability that over 3.5 goals will be scored stands at 99.0%. The outcome will be resolved based on the official match result. The decisive moment to watch will be the final whistle of the match on July 22, 2026, which will determine whether the over 3.5 goals threshold is met.
Resolution is based on the total combined goals scored in the Portland vs Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Separate markets track whether the total exceeds 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, or 4.5 goals, each resolving to Yes if the specified threshold is surpassed.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks depending on which outcomes attract more trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal where professional oddsmakers and decentralized traders disagree, potentially highlighting value or consensus blind spots in how the total goals are priced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders submit bids and asks for different goal-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts these orders into implied probabilities, displayed as decimal odds or percentages. As new trades execute, prices update in real time to reflect the latest consensus. Traders can enter limit orders to bet on specific ranges or use market orders for immediate execution, and the spread between buy and sell prices narrows or widens based on liquidity and conviction around each outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, after the Portland vs Dallas match concludes. The outcome is determined by the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during regulation time. Once the final whistle sounds and the result is verified against credible public sources, this market settles to the correct goal total. Traders holding positions on the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The resolution is typically confirmed within hours of the match ending.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players—often triggers sharp moves, as do lineup announcements and weather updates that affect playing conditions. Early match action, including goals scored in the opening minutes, typically generates significant volume and repricing. Momentum swings, red cards, or tactical changes during the game can also drive rapid adjustments. Traders monitoring live statistics and social sentiment may react quickly to perceived shifts in either team's attacking or defensive intensity, creating opportunities for profitable trades.