TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:42 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the goal differential between Portland and Dallas during their MLS soccer match on July 22, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether one team will win by a margin exceeding specific goal thresholds during regulation play.
Resolution is based on the final goal differential in the Portland vs Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). Separate markets track whether Portland wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Dallas wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, each resolving to Yes if the specified condition is met.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many independent traders, which can reveal genuine edge or consensus that differs from sportsbook pricing. Comparing the two can highlight where smart money disagrees with the book, though both should be monitored as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing bids and asks. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, with the midpoint reflecting the implied probability of each outcome. As new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or betting trends—traders adjust their positions, and the price updates in real time. This mechanism ensures the market price stays responsive to fresh signals and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Portland versus Dallas game concludes and the final spread result is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the official final score and the agreed-upon point spread. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of game completion, allowing quick settlement and payoff.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, roster changes, and recent team performance trends. Betting action from sharp bettors, national media coverage, and line movement at major sportsbooks can also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and head-to-head matchup history may influence positioning as well. Real-time updates during pre-game warmups—such as last-minute lineup adjustments or player status confirmations—often trigger final repricing before tipoff, so monitor news closely in the hours leading up to the event.