TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps FC scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track whether Portland wins, Vancouver wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi apply different resolution outcomes in the event of game cancellation with no makeup. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while its win markets resolve No; Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Monitor cancellation risk closely. On Polymarket, the draw market benefits from cancellation (Yes) while win markets suffer (No), creating a structural hedge. On Kalshi, cancellation behavior is undefined—contact support for clarification before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets: (1) Draw resolves Yes if game ends 0-0 or tied after 90+stoppage, or Yes if canceled entirely with no makeup; (2) Portland win resolves Yes only if Portland wins after 90+stoppage, No if canceled; (3) Vancouver win resolves Yes only if Vancouver wins after 90+stoppage, No if canceled. Postponement keeps markets open until completion.Kalshi:
Three markets presented as outcomes: (1) Portland win resolves Yes if Portland wins after 90+stoppage; (2) Vancouver win resolves Yes if Vancouver wins after 90+stoppage; (3) Tie resolves Yes if match ends in a draw after 90+stoppage. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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