TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 1:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Portland Timbers will win their upcoming MLS match against San Diego FC. The aggregated consensus probability for a Portland Timbers win stands at 99.0%. Data is drawn from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, with resolution based on official MLS statistics and recognized governing body results. The decisive catalyst to watch will be the match result on August 19, 2026, which will determine the market outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 19, 2026 between Portland Timbers and San Diego FC.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Portland vs San Diego FC MLS match scheduled for August 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Portland, a win for San Diego FC, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result within the standard match duration.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, August 19, 2026 between Portland Timbers and San Diego FC.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because of different user bases, liquidity levels, and trading activity. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might see heavier betting from local fans, skewing its odds toward a favorite, while the other balances more broadly national or international views. Volume differences also play a role — higher volume typically tightens spreads but can also amplify rapid shifts when big bets land. These dynamics often cause the two venues to price this market differently until consensus stabilizes.