TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 1:03 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between Portland Timbers and FC Dallas, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers score more goals than FC Dallas in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Portland Timbers and FC Dallas score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Dallas" if FC Dallas score more goals than Portland Timbers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming MLS game between Portland Timbers and FC Dallas, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers score more goals than FC Dallas in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Portland Timbers and FC Dallas score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Dallas" if FC Dallas score more goals than Portland Timbers in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and operate under different constraints. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-time supply and demand. This market reflects what traders believe will happen, unconstrained by traditional sportsbook margins. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception differs from professional oddsmakers, though both incorporate similar underlying information about team form, injuries, and matchup dynamics.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of shares held in the pool, and as traders trade, prices adjust dynamically. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price efficiency. Traders profit by correctly predicting the second-half result, and the market price converges toward the true probability as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the second half concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official final score or result as recorded by the relevant sports authority. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout once the event is settled. Until resolution, prices may shift based on live match developments, team news, or shifts in trader sentiment.
Several factors could shift prices before this market resolves. Team news such as player injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements often trigger significant moves. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions can influence trader positioning. Live match developments during the first half may prompt traders to reassess second-half probabilities based on momentum, score, and visible team performance. Major injuries or unexpected tactical shifts during the match itself typically generate the most volatile price swings as traders adjust their expectations for the remaining play.