TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas - First Team to Score
polymarket
kalshi

Who will score first: Portland Timbers or FC Dallas?

Volume:
$1,291

FC Dallas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 23, 2026

Closed: Jul 22, 11:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

FC Dallas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
$454
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Dallas

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Neither

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland Timbers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
$56
Settled
No
polymarket

Portland Timbers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

No Goal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55
N/A
N/A
$54
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group determines which team scores first in the Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026. The market resolves based on which team records the opening goal during the match, with outcomes for Portland Timbers, FC Dallas, or Neither team scoring.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Time scope divergence: Polymarket resolves on first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, while Kalshi includes the entire match including extra time periods. This creates different resolution outcomes if a goal is scored in extra time.Hero tip: If betting on Polymarket, a goal in extra time triggers Neither. If betting on Kalshi, the same goal triggers Yes for the scoring team. Hedge or clarify your platform exposure before the match enters extra time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on first goal within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs explicitly excluded. Three outcomes: Portland Timbers, FC Dallas, or Neither. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on first goal during entire game including regulation, stoppage, and any extra time periods. Three binary markets (Portland Timbers Yes/No, FC Dallas Yes/No, Neither Yes/No) that collectively cover all scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Portland Timbers and FC Dallas, scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Portland Timbers" if Portland Timbers are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Dallas" if FC Dallas are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

If Portland Timbers records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If FC Dallas records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If no team records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The first goal scorer market aggregates predictions across Polymarket and Kalshi, tracking which team will score the opening goal in the Portland Timbers versus FC Dallas match. Traders on both venues place bets on this outcome, and the combined volume reflects overall market conviction. This market captures real-time sentiment shifts as match conditions, team news, and betting patterns evolve. By monitoring prices across platforms, you gain insight into how professional and casual predictors assess each team's offensive threat and defensive vulnerability heading into kickoff.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, often adjusting for sharp action and public bias. Prediction markets, by contrast, rely on trader consensus and continuous price discovery—odds shift fluidly as new information arrives. Many traders use sportsbook lines as a reference point but find prediction market prices more responsive to breaking news, injury updates, or lineup changes. Comparing the two can reveal arbitrage opportunities or validate your own thesis on this market.

Team news—injuries to key forwards or defensive starters—can significantly shift odds in either direction. Lineup announcements, tactical changes, or weather conditions on match day often trigger sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Late betting surges from informed groups can accelerate price movement in the final hours before kickoff. Monitor social media, official team channels, and sports news outlets for roster updates or coaching decisions that might alter the perceived balance of attacking and defensive strength.