TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 12:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Portland Timbers versus FC Dallas MLS match scheduled for July 22, 2026 will end in a draw, with the aggregated consensus probability currently at 100.0%, drawn from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve using official MLS Soccer statistics. The match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time is the key catalyst to watch for on the scheduled match date.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 22, 2026 between Portland Timbers and FC Dallas.
Resolution is based on the result of the professional MLS soccer match between Portland and Dallas originally scheduled for July 22, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). The match has three possible outcomes: Portland victory, Dallas victory, or a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than traditional sportsbook margins, often resulting in tighter spreads and prices that reflect pure supply and demand. Sportsbooks build in a house edge and adjust lines to manage liability; prediction markets instead let traders set odds directly. This can make prediction market prices more efficient for sharp bettors, though liquidity and available volume vary by event. For this matchup, comparing these markets to major sportsbooks reveals how different pricing mechanisms value the same outcome.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or coaching changes that alter perceived strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day can all shift trader sentiment. Major betting syndicates or sharp money flowing into one side may signal new information and trigger price movement. Schedule disruptions, venue changes, or unexpected roster moves closer to kickoff could also prompt rapid repricing as new data reaches the market.