TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Portland Thorns FC vs. Chicago Stars FC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Portland Thorns FC vs. Chicago Stars FC?

Volume:
$135,079

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 9:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,029
N/A
N/A
$18,270
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Portland Thorns FC vs. Chicago Stars FC)

100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$582
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chicago

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,962
N/A
N/A
$32,680
Settled
No
polymarket

Chicago Stars FC

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Portland Thorns

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32,964
N/A
N/A
$19,841
Settled
No
polymarket

Portland Thorns FC

0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a single professional women's soccer (NWSL) match between the Portland Thorns FC and the Chicago Stars FC on September 13, 2026. Markets exist for Portland winning, Chicago winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same 90+ minute timeframe and have consistent fallback resolution procedures.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (NWSSL).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the 'Portland Thorns FC win' market if Portland Thorns FC has the higher score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the 'Chicago Stars FC win' market if Chicago Stars FC has the higher score at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the 'Draw' market if the scores are tied at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, the markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, the 'Portland Thorns FC win' and 'Chicago Stars FC win' markets resolve to 'No', while the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed. Resolution will then follow the standard win/draw/loss logic.
  • Cancellation: The 'Portland Thorns FC win' and 'Chicago Stars FC win' markets resolve to 'No'. The 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • Data Discrepancies: The primary resolution source is official statistics. If unavailable, Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used. Revisions to official scores after market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official statistics are available, or within 2 hours of the event's conclusion if official data is delayed, falling back to Flashscore, Sofascore, or consensus reporting as needed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Portland Thorns FC and Chicago Stars FC.

Kalshi

The event involves determining the winner of a professional NWSL soccer match between Portland Thorns and Chicago scheduled for September 13, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Portland Thorns wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the specified duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The outcome is strictly based on the result within the regular time frame, and the platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those represented in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are created. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and ensure profit, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and often reflect public perception, which can sometimes diverge from the more informed opinions found in prediction markets.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, while Kalshi uses a different order book structure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanisms can lead to price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event. Additionally, the user base and trading activity on each platform can vary, influencing the price discovery process. Market sentiment and information flow also aren’t necessarily identical across both venues, contributing to differing probabilities for the same outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi driven by new information or a change in sentiment could cause the odds to move. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly impact trader confidence and influence the market’s direction.