TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a single professional women's soccer (NWSL) match between the Portland Thorns FC and the Chicago Stars FC on September 13, 2026. Markets exist for Portland winning, Chicago winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming NWSL game, scheduled for Sunday, September 13, 2026 between Portland Thorns FC and Chicago Stars FC.
The event involves determining the winner of a professional NWSL soccer match between Portland Thorns and Chicago scheduled for September 13, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If Portland Thorns wins, that specific market resolves to Yes. If Chicago wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the specified duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In cases where the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as per the rules. The outcome is strictly based on the result within the regular time frame, and the platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, while Kalshi uses a different order book structure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in mechanisms can lead to price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event. Additionally, the user base and trading activity on each platform can vary, influencing the price discovery process. Market sentiment and information flow also aren’t necessarily identical across both venues, contributing to differing probabilities for the same outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant trading volume on either Polymarket or Kalshi driven by new information or a change in sentiment could cause the odds to move. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly impact trader confidence and influence the market’s direction.