A college basketball game between Portland State Vikings and Montana Grizzlies scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets cover the moneyline winner, spread outcome, and total points scored across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Portland St. victory and Montana victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market mathematically unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents proper settlement.
Hero Tip:
Treat the Kalshi moneyline as unresolvable until the platform corrects the logic. Trade only the Polymarket markets (moneyline, spread, totals), which have consistent and clear resolution criteria. Contact Kalshi support to clarify whether the moneyline should differentiate outcomes or if this is a template error.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to winning team name (Portland State Vikings or Montana Grizzlies). Spread (Montana -1.5) resolves to Montana if they win by 2+ points, otherwise Portland State. Three Over/Under markets at 143.5, 142.5, and 141.5 thresholds resolve based on combined score. All markets remain open if postponed; resolve 50-50 if canceled with no makeup game. Key Quote: If the Portland State Vikings win, the market will resolve to Portland State Vikings.
Kalshi:
Moneyline market exhibits critical logical error: states both Portland St. victory and Montana victory resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable contradiction. No alternative outcomes or No resolution path is defined. Key Quote: If Portland St. wins...then resolves to Yes. If Montana wins...then resolves to Yes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.