TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 1:54 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively Oregon might win against Portland State in their upcoming college football game. Each outcome represents a different margin of victory for Oregon, allowing participants to assess varying degrees of dominance in the match.
All markets resolve based on Oregon's point differential over Portland State in their college football game scheduled for September 18, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if Oregon's victory margin exceeds the specified threshold for each market, ranging from over 38.5 points to over 69.5 points. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential threshold.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on information not yet fully priced into traditional markets. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own predictions. Differences can emerge if a significant number of traders believe they have an edge or possess unique insights regarding the game’s likely outcome, leading to potentially different probabilities implied by the prices here versus those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Oregon vs Portland St. game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their views are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic process leads to prices that aggregate the collective intelligence of all participants, creating a forward-looking assessment of the game’s likely outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Oregon vs Portland St. game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread falls within the range of contracts offered, and to 0 for contracts on spreads that do not match the final result. Traders holding winning contracts will receive a payout, while those with losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Sep 19, 2026. Any significant news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game, could also move the market. Public perception and betting trends, as reflected in sportsbook lines, can also have an effect. Finally, any late-breaking news or analysis that alters the perceived strength of either team could lead to price adjustments.