A men's college basketball game between the Portland Pilots and Gonzaga Bulldogs scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-26.5 and -27.5), and over/under totals at two levels (149.5 and 150.5 points).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Portland win and Gonzaga win outcomes are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline is unambiguous.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline until clarification. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, both spreads, both totals) use consistent logic: resolve based on final score including overtime, remain open if postponed, resolve 50-50 only if canceled with no makeup game.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Portland wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If Gonzaga wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible and makes the market unresolvable.
Polymarket: Moneyline market clearly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to 'Portland Pilots' if Portland wins, 'Gonzaga Bulldogs' if Gonzaga wins, 50-50 only if game canceled with no makeup.
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