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5

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Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC
kalshi
polymarket

Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC

Volume:
$67,528

Draw (Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC)

 - Polymarket

Draw (Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC) - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Feb 14, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,177
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bristol City

View
55%
Yes 55¢No 45¢
—
N/A
$14,009
N/A
N/A
$9,558
Settled
No
kalshi

Port Vale

View
23%
Yes 23¢No 77¢
—
N/A
$152
N/A
N/A
$125
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
22%
Yes 22¢No 78¢
—
N/A
$215
N/A
N/A
$41
Settled
No
polymarket

Bristol City FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$39,542
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Port Vale FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC is a professional FA Cup soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The event group aggregates prediction markets from Kalshi and Polymarket that cover three possible outcomes: Port Vale win, Bristol City win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling diverges across platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win markets resolve No; Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.Hero tip: Monitor for postponement vs. cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will resolve Yes while win positions resolve No, creating a partial hedge mismatch. Kalshi's silence on cancellation may require manual arbitration. Confirm with each platform's support before the event date.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Port Vale win (Yes if Port Vale wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise or if canceled); Bristol City win (Yes if Bristol City wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise or if canceled); Draw (Yes if draw in 90+stoppage OR if canceled with no make-up, No otherwise). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets: Tie (Yes if tie after 90+stoppage), Bristol City win (Yes if Bristol City wins after 90+stoppage), Port Vale win (Yes if Port Vale wins after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties' (scope is clear, but cancellation handling is absent).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.