TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$230,557,910

24H TRANSACTIONS:

531,611,392

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,202,344,730

501,342

Markets across

13,602

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,822

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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kalshi
polymarket
Trending

Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC

Volume:
$67,528
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

Port Vale FC vs. Bristol City FC is a professional FA Cup soccer match scheduled for February 14, 2026. The event group aggregates prediction markets from Kalshi and Polymarket that cover three possible outcomes: Port Vale win, Bristol City win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Cancellation handling diverges across platforms. Polymarket's draw market resolves Yes on cancellation, while win markets resolve No; Kalshi does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios.

Hero Tip:

Monitor for postponement vs. cancellation announcements. If the match is canceled with no make-up, Polymarket traders holding draw positions will resolve Yes while win positions resolve No, creating a partial hedge mismatch. Kalshi's silence on cancellation may require manual arbitration. Confirm with each platform's support before the event date.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate markets: Port Vale win (Yes if Port Vale wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise or if canceled); Bristol City win (Yes if Bristol City wins in 90+stoppage, No otherwise or if canceled); Draw (Yes if draw in 90+stoppage OR if canceled with no make-up, No otherwise). Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets: Tie (Yes if tie after 90+stoppage), Bristol City win (Yes if Bristol City wins after 90+stoppage), Port Vale win (Yes if Port Vale wins after 90+stoppage). No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'does not include extra time or penalties' (scope is clear, but cancellation handling is absent).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.