TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Port FC vs Kobe soccer match. Different markets cover various winning margins for each team, determining if one team wins by a specific number of goals or more.
This event assesses whether Port FC or Kobe achieves a win by more than a specified goal margin in their professional AFC Champions League match on September 16, 2026. The resolution is based on the goal difference after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Two sets of markets exist: one for Port FC winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and another for Kobe winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. A market resolves to Yes if the winning team's margin of victory exceeds the specified threshold; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. As more information becomes available – such as team news or injuries – the odds in this market can shift more rapidly than those at traditional sportsbooks. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant event, as traders incorporate new data into their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As traders place orders, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread is determined by the difference in prices between the 'Port FC wins' and 'Kobe wins' contracts. The more traders believe one team will win, the higher the price of that contract will become.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Port FC vs Kobe match, specifically the spread, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will not. The market will close prior to the event's completion to allow for accurate settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Port FC or Kobe would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift the odds. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue might influence the perceived advantage for either team. Finally, major announcements related to team strategy or coaching changes could also contribute to volatility in this market as traders adjust their expectations.