TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 4:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Port Adelaide Power and Sydney Swans, scheduled for September 19 at 12:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Port Adelaide Power and Sydney Swans, scheduled for September 19 at 12:35AM ET. This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the estimated probability of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adjust to incorporate new information and the collective intelligence of the traders participating on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the official result of the Port Adelaide Power vs. Sydney Swans match, determining which team is declared the winner of the AFL Grand Final. Resolution will be based on the officially reported results, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all traders. The outcome will be determined by the official AFL results.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions would likely cause shifts in the odds. Major upsets in other AFL matches leading up to the Grand Final could also influence perceptions of team form and momentum. Furthermore, weather forecasts for the day of the match could play a role, as certain teams may perform better in specific conditions. Public sentiment and media coverage, while less direct, can also contribute to price movements in this market.