TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 25 at 2:45 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis. If many individuals believe in a particular outcome, the odds on Polymarket may shift more dramatically than at a sportsbook. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform sportsbooks in accuracy, as they harness the wisdom of the crowd.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. As more shares are purchased for a specific result, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, and traders aim to profit by correctly predicting the event's result. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Poland vs. Bosnia match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution. This allows for a clear and objective determination of the market’s result.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, broader sporting news and public sentiment surrounding the teams' performance can contribute to price movements. Major upsets in related matches or changes in betting trends at sportsbooks may also cause traders to reassess their positions, leading to fluctuations in volume and price.