TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Poland" if Poland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bosnia and Herzegovina" if Bosnia and Herzegovina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Poland" if Poland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Bosnia and Herzegovina" if Bosnia and Herzegovina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, incorporating a margin for profit, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If a large number of traders believe a sportsbook underestimates the chance of a particular team scoring first, the odds on Polymarket will likely move in that direction. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of both markets.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the team that scores first will be paid out according to the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price action in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by the coaches could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. A significant shift in public opinion, as reflected in polls or social media discussions, might also impact the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market before Sep 25, 2026.