TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 6:44 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina match originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina match originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe an outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the prediction market odds will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Polymarket. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction fees should be considered.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores, and the price of each share reflects the market’s probability of that score occurring. As more shares are traded, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share can be interpreted as the probability of that exact score being the final result of the Poland vs. Bosnia match. Higher demand for a particular score will drive up its price, indicating greater confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official score of the Poland vs. Bosnia match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine the winning shares. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the exact score. It’s important to note that the resolution relies on official sources and is not subject to interpretation or debate. The market will close before the end of the match to prevent manipulation.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift the probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also lead to significant price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades by influential participants on Polymarket can create momentum and impact the odds. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, might also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of traders.