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Polymarket:

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Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Volume:
$1,238,293

Tie

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$110,737
N/A
N/A
$76,077
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina)

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

View
99%
74%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$34,565
$11,512
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

POL

View
4%
53%
Yes 4¢No 96¢
—
$9,165
$39,017
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Poland

View
0%
57%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Poland

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$235,603
N/A
N/A
$163,471
Settled
No
predict

BIH

View
1%
18%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$8,957
$24,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$354,025
N/A
N/A
$213,937
Settled
No
polymarket

Bosnia and Herzegovina

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$113,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of a draw in the UEFA Nations League soccer match between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for September 25, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market will be official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA). Keep an eye on the match itself on September 25, 2026, to see if the game concludes in a draw as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, using official sources with defined fallbacks.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (UEFA).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the official result of the match.
  • The match result is defined as the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, resolution will be delayed until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes' (per Polymarket).
  • Fallback data sources are used if official statistics are unavailable: Flashscore, Sofascore, and then a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Data Available: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the markets will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, but no later than 24 hours after the scheduled match time. If no data is available within 24 hours, resolution will be 50-50 or 'Draw'.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the official result of the Poland vs Bosnia and Herzegovina UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Poland occurs if Poland wins the match within regular time; a 'Yes' for Bosnia and Herzegovina occurs if Bosnia and Herzegovina wins within regular time; and a 'Yes' for Tie occurs if the match ends level after regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve at a fair price as determined per platform rules. The platform disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Poland and Bosnia and Herzegovina.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' that is more accurate, particularly when significant information isn't yet priced into sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically offer simpler interfaces and wider accessibility, while this market requires a crypto wallet and understanding of decentralized platforms.

Prices for this market on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading fees, and liquidity, which can all influence price discovery. Differences in the types of traders participating on each platform – for example, more sophisticated or casual bettors – can also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, differing levels of information available to traders on each platform, or varying interpretations of the same information, can lead to different probability assessments for the Poland vs. Bosnia match. These factors create independent price signals.