TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Poland vs. Albania - More Markets
polymarket
kalshi

Poland vs. Albania - More Markets

Volume:
$357,443

O/U 1.5

 - Polymarket

O/U 1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 27, 2026

Closed: Mar 26, 3:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$50,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Poland wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,602
N/A
N/A
$5,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Albania wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,001
N/A
N/A
$2,547
Settled
No
kalshi

Poland wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,098
N/A
N/A
$1,092
Settled
No
kalshi

Albania wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$501
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This market group covers five related betting markets on the Poland vs. Albania World Cup Europe Qualifiers match scheduled for March 26 at 3:45 PM ET. The markets span total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and a both-teams-to-score proposition, allowing traders to express granular views on match scoring intensity and team performance.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers Over/Under markets on total goals scored (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and a Both Teams to Score market, while Kalshi offers margin-of-victory markets (win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals). These represent fundamentally different market types with different resolution logic and outcomes.Hero tip: Polymarket bettors are wagering on total goal volume and whether both teams score; Kalshi bettors are wagering on the margin of victory. A 3-0 Poland win resolves Over on Polymarket's 2.5 market but also resolves Yes on Kalshi's Poland >2.5 margin market. Do not assume cross-platform hedging—these markets measure different dimensions of the match outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on combined total goals scored (Over/Under thresholds at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and whether both teams score at least one goal each. Primary source is UEFA official statistics. Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if Poland and Albania combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.'
  • Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on the margin of victory (one team winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals). Example: 'If Poland wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Poland vs Albania professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers soccer game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.