TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Poland vs. Albania - More Markets
Volume:
$357,443
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers five related betting markets on the Poland vs. Albania World Cup Europe Qualifiers match scheduled for March 26 at 3:45 PM ET. The markets span total goals over/under at multiple thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and a both-teams-to-score proposition, allowing traders to express granular views on match scoring intensity and team performance.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers Over/Under markets on total goals scored (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and a Both Teams to Score market, while Kalshi offers margin-of-victory markets (win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals). These represent fundamentally different market types with different resolution logic and outcomes.Hero Tip:
Polymarket bettors are wagering on total goal volume and whether both teams score; Kalshi bettors are wagering on the margin of victory. A 3-0 Poland win resolves Over on Polymarket's 2.5 market but also resolves Yes on Kalshi's Poland >2.5 margin market. Do not assume cross-platform hedging—these markets measure different dimensions of the match outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket resolves based on combined total goals scored (Over/Under thresholds at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) and whether both teams score at least one goal each. Primary source is UEFA official statistics. Example: 'This market will resolve to Over if Poland and Albania combine to score 3 or more goals in this game.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves based on the margin of victory (one team winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals). Example: 'If Poland wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Poland vs Albania professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers soccer game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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