TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 3, 6:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Poland and Nigeria (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 3, 2026, 18:45 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
The Poland and Nigeria have 4 or more total cards market resolves on Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official card count issued to both teams combined during the match. The outcome hinges on whether the total number of yellow and red cards shown to Poland and Nigeria players reaches 4 or exceeds it. Official match records from the governing football authority serve as the authoritative source. Once the match concludes and cards are finalized, the market settles based on whether the threshold is met.
Several catalysts could shift odds before Jun 4, 2026. Team lineups and injury announcements affect playing style and aggression levels. Referee assignment is critical—some officials issue cards more liberally than others. Recent disciplinary records of key players, historical head-to-head card rates, and weather conditions all influence card frequency. Pre-match news about tactical approach, rivalry intensity, or player suspensions can trigger rapid repricing. Close to kickoff, any last-minute roster changes or tactical shifts reported by analysts will likely move the market as traders reassess the probability of reaching 4 total cards.