TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above $436.47
- Kalshi
Above $436.47 - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 1, 2026
Will Ungraded Price of the Pokémon SV:151 Charizard ex (199/165 SIR) on Collectr be above $436.47 on May 31, 2026?
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Intro
This market tracks whether the ungraded Pokémon SV:151 Charizard ex (199/165 SIR) card will trade above $436.47 on the Collectr pricing platform. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 92.0%. The resolution source is the official Ungraded Price listed on Collectr as of May 31, 2026. Watch for any major shifts in the broader Pokémon trading card market or significant sales activity for this specific card variant leading up to the May 31, 2026 resolution date.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction about Charizard ex SV151 pricing, which often diverges from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on historical grading trends, print runs, and market sentiment reports, prediction markets aggregate live betting behavior and financial incentives. The current market odds suggest strong confidence in the upside scenario, though independent collectible card analysts and price guides may offer different perspectives based on supply dynamics and collector demand patterns.
On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary contract: Will the Pokémon SV:151 Charizard ex (199/165 SIR) ungraded price on Collectr be above $436.47 on May 31, 2026? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect 100.0% probability for the "yes" outcome. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with payouts determined by the final Collectr price on the resolution date. Higher odds indicate stronger market belief that the card will trade above the threshold.
The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by checking the ungraded price of the Pokémon SV:151 Charizard ex (199/165 SIR) on the Collectr platform as of that date. If the price is above $436.47, the "yes" outcome wins; if it is at or below that level, the "no" outcome wins. The specific Collectr listing price serves as the objective settlement reference, ensuring transparent and verifiable resolution.
Several factors could influence the Charizard ex SV151 price trajectory. Grading population reports and PSA/BGS certification trends affect perceived scarcity and collector demand. Major Pokémon TCG set releases or reprints could shift the competitive landscape for vintage special illustration rares. Broader collectible card market sentiment, influencer endorsements, and high-profile sales of comparable cards may drive price momentum. Additionally, changes in Collectr's user base activity and trading volume could impact liquidity and pricing for this specific card through May 2026.
