TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 7:25 AM EST
Kalshi
This market determines which team leads after the first 45 minutes of the Korea K League 1 soccer match between Pohang Steelers and Jeonbuk on July 25, 2026. A tie resolves if both teams score equally or neither team scores during the first half.
The first half winner is determined by which team scores more goals during the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time of the match. If both teams score an equal number of goals or no goals are scored, the result is a tie. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi for this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, Kalshi users actively bet and adjust prices in real time, reflecting immediate shifts in perception or new information. This can lead to more volatile or nuanced odds compared to sportsbook offerings. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value, keeping in mind that Kalshi’s odds represent a crowdsourced assessment rather than a fixed sportsbook line.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts, with the current chance percentage reflecting the aggregated belief about which team will win the first half. The market’s liquidity, indicated by volume of $7,159, helps determine how sensitive the pricing is to new information or shifts in trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half, as officially recorded, will determine which contracts are settled, closing this market based on the actual event performance.
Injuries to key players, tactical changes by coaches, or even weather conditions that affect early-game performance could shift this market. Any news that impacts the perceived strength or strategy of either team in the opening minutes can cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds ahead of the match.