TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 9, 8:32 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Korea K League 1. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: one team winning, the other team winning, or the match ending in a tie.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Pohang Steelers vs Gimcheon Sangmu professional Korea K League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. If the match ends level after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant amount of money flows towards a particular outcome, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially revealing information not yet fully priced into traditional sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information and analytical approaches, offering opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Pohang Steelers versus Gimcheon Sangmu game.
This market resolves around Sep 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pohang Steelers versus Gimcheon Sangmu game as reported by official sources for the Korean Baseball Organization. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the game could all shift trader sentiment. Significant media coverage or expert analysis predicting a particular outcome could also drive trading activity. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants can quickly alter the odds, reflecting new information or strategic positioning. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market leading up to its resolution.