TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a K League 1 professional soccer match between Pohang Steelers FC and Incheon United FC scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary contracts for each possible result (Pohang win, Incheon win, draw) and resolution based on the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi use different market structures (three separate binaries vs. single three-outcome market) and Polymarket's draw market contains a contradictory cancellation clause that conflicts with its win market logic.Hero Tip:
Before trading, confirm with Polymarket whether the draw market's Yes resolution on cancellation is intentional. This clause contradicts the No resolution on cancellation in the win markets. On Kalshi, the three-outcome structure is standard and unambiguous. Consider the market structure difference when hedging across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Pohang Win, Draw, Incheon Win). Draw market contains contradiction: states 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' while win markets resolve to No on cancellation. This creates logical inconsistency where a single canceled game event produces conflicting resolutions across linked markets.Kalshi:
Single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes (Incheon Win, Pohang Win, Tie). Each outcome is a separate Yes/No resolution condition. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard sports market practice would void or defer the market pending league rescheduling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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