TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gwangju FC
Volume:
$147,731
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a K League 1 professional soccer match between Pohang Steelers FC and Gwangju FC scheduled for April 22, 2026. Markets assess whether Pohang wins, Gwangju wins, or the match ends in a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcome markets (Pohang win, Tie, Gwangju win) resolve to Yes simultaneously, making it impossible for any single outcome to be falsifiable. Polymarket uses standard mutually-exclusive binary markets with coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi markets in this group. The resolution rules create a logical contradiction where every possible match outcome triggers Yes on all three markets, rendering them unresolvable and unhedgeable. Polymarket markets are tradeable and follow standard sports betting logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually-exclusive binary markets: Pohang Win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No), Gwangju Win (Yes/No). Exactly one resolves Yes based on 90-minute match outcome. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to Yes, others to No. Primary source is official K League statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus.
- Kalshi: Three markets presented as independent Yes/No outcomes, but resolution rules state: 'If Pohang wins... then Yes', 'If Tie occurs... then Yes', 'If Gwangju wins... then Yes'. This means all three markets resolve Yes for any possible match outcome, creating logical impossibility. No cancellation clause provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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