TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 8:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Yanaki Milev in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Compagnucci' if Tommaso Compagnucci advances against Yanaki Milev. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Tommaso Compagnucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tommaso Compagnucci and Yanaki Milev in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommaso Compagnucci' if Tommaso Compagnucci advances against Yanaki Milev. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Tommaso Compagnucci. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by user predictions, may offer a different perspective, particularly if there's information not fully captured by traditional sportsbooks. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on player form, potential upsets, or external factors influencing the match. Comparing these odds can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a specific outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Polymarket, and does not rely on any external factors or oracles beyond the event's eventual outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tommaso Compagnucci vs Yanaki Milev match, as reported by the governing body of the competition. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and fairness. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. The exact timing of resolution may vary slightly depending on the availability of official results.
Several signals or events could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could also impact the price of shares. Furthermore, updates on player form or recent match results could lead to adjustments in the implied probabilities. Major upsets in related matches or tournaments could also indirectly affect this market as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape.