TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 7:54 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Nikita Mashtakov in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Nikita Mashtakov. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavlos Tsitsipas and Nikita Mashtakov in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Nikita Mashtakov. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome, while prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, with this market potentially offering more favorable odds or reflecting different underlying assumptions about the players' chances. However, it’s important to note that both represent estimations of the likelihood of each outcome, influenced by available information and public opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome will occur, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd participating in the market.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Tsitsipas vs Mashtakov match, as declared by the governing tennis authorities. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact predictions. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the Tsitsipas vs Mashtakov match might also shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in social media or expert analysis, can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions accordingly. These signals can lead to increased volume and volatility in this market.