TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:01 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Lagutin and Svyatoslav Gulin in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Lagutin' if Pavel Lagutin advances against Svyatoslav Gulin. This market will resolve to 'Svyatoslav Gulin' if Svyatoslav Gulin advances against Pavel Lagutin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember they represent different approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match's potential results. The current price indicates the market's collective expectation for the Lagutin vs Gulin match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Lagutin vs Gulin match, as reported by the governing sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public opinion could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player form could also trigger price adjustments. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in sentiment, causing the market to react. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to Pavel Lagutin and Svyatoslav Gulin will be key to understanding potential market movements.