TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 9:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikita Mashtakov and Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Nikita Mashtakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates individual predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying risk assessments or access to unique insights among market participants, offering a potentially valuable comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to the latest developments surrounding the Mashtakov vs Mrva match.
This market resolves around Sep 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Plovdiv 4: Nikita Mashtakov vs Maxim Mrva match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will be resolved.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players' form, potential injuries, or changes in their training regimens could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, reflected through social media or expert analysis, can drive trading volume and alter the perceived probabilities, leading to changes in the price of shares before the Sep 29, 2026 resolution.