TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Carlos Taberner in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Carlos Taberner. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Max Alcala Gurri and Carlos Taberner in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Alcala Gurri' if Max Alcala Gurri advances against Carlos Taberner. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Max Alcala Gurri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It is common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be valuable for identifying potential value or mispricings in either market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions for the Alcala Gurri vs Taberner match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Alcala Gurri vs Taberner match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against established sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or significant shifts in public opinion, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, reflecting their informed views on the Alcala Gurri vs Taberner match.