TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva
- Polymarket
Plovdiv 4: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Maxim Mrva - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 24, 2026
Closed: Sep 24, 7:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Izan Almazan Valiente and Maxim Mrva in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Izan Almazan Valiente' if Izan Almazan Valiente advances against Maxim Mrva. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Mrva' if Maxim Mrva advances against Izan Almazan Valiente. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access or differing interpretations of available data. Observing these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Almazan vs Mrva match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the market's implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Almazan vs Mrva match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 1, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategy could also lead to price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades or concentrated buying/selling activity from individual traders can create short-term volatility. Monitoring these signals and events will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market's implied probabilities.