TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 6:46 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Sebastian Gima in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Sebastian Gima. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Misolic and Sebastian Gima in the Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Sebastian Gima. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gima' if Sebastian Gima advances against Filip Misolic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the wisdom of the crowd on Polymarket, tends to reflect more purely the probability of an outcome as perceived by bettors. However, discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to new information or shifts in sentiment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes of the Misolic vs Gima match, and the price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of that outcome's probability. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers agree. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, with informed traders and new information influencing the direction of the market. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Misolic vs Gima match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution. The market will then be closed and settled.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also impact perceptions of player momentum. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed bettors could signal new information or a change in sentiment. Public opinion and analysis from tennis experts could also contribute to price movements, as traders incorporate these insights into their predictions for the Misolic vs Gima match.