TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 21, 10:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Oriol Roca Batalla in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Oriol Roca Batalla in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Oriol Roca Batalla. This market will resolve to 'Oriol Roca Batalla' if Oriol Roca Batalla advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Dedura-Palomero vs Roca Batalla match. The price of each share fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more traders believe a particular outcome is likely, the price of shares representing that outcome increases, and vice-versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the market's aggregate assessment of the probability of each player winning.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Dedura-Palomero vs Roca Batalla match, as reported by the official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could cause the odds to shift. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic changes could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements. Monitoring these signals and events can help traders assess the potential for profitable opportunities in this market.