TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 5:29 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Petr Nesterov in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Petr Nesterov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Carlos Taberner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Taberner and Petr Nesterov in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Petr Nesterov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Carlos Taberner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance their risk, factoring in margins and public biases. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that more accurately represent the true probability of an outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert analysis, or when new information emerges that hasn’t yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. The higher the price of a share, the greater the perceived chance of that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing opinions about the Taberner vs Nesterov match.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Taberner vs Nesterov match as reported by recognized tennis authorities. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about player form, tactical changes, or even weather forecasts impacting the match could all trigger increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could also cause noticeable movements in the price of shares representing either player’s chances of winning.