TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:13 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Carlos Taberner in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Carlos Taberner. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Carlos Taberner in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 25, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Carlos Taberner. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Taberner' if Carlos Taberner advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes in the Hemery-Taberner match, and the price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of its probability. As more shares are traded, the price adjusts to find an equilibrium point where buyers and sellers are willing to transact. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and the overall sentiment of the trading community. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available.
This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Hemery-Taberner match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the winner, and shares will be settled accordingly. It’s important to note that the outcome is determined by the actual result of the match, and the platform relies on publicly available information to finalize the resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing surface conditions, or significant shifts in player form could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by informed traders could create short-term price fluctuations. Monitoring tennis news and analyzing player statistics are key to understanding potential catalysts that could shift the probabilities in this market.