TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 12:39 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Andreev and Jonas Forejtek in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Andreev' if Adrian Andreev advances against Jonas Forejtek. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Adrian Andreev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Andreev and Jonas Forejtek in the Plovdiv 4, originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Andreev' if Adrian Andreev advances against Jonas Forejtek. This market will resolve to 'Jonas Forejtek' if Jonas Forejtek advances against Adrian Andreev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players' form. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may present themselves, as traders attempt to profit from the mispricing between the two types of odds. It’s important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information faster than sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Andreev vs Forejtek match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the match’s potential results. The current price indicates the market’s aggregated forecast, and significant price movements suggest changing expectations among traders. Volume plays a role in price discovery, with higher volume generally indicating greater confidence in the price signal.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Andreev vs Forejtek match, as declared by the governing tennis body. The player who wins the match will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any disputes or challenges to the official result will be considered according to Polymarket’s guidelines. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players could also affect perceptions of their form and ability. Significant betting activity, even outside of Polymarket, might also signal new information or a change in expectations. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning has the potential to move this market.