TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 10:52 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of sets played in the tennis match between Yanaki Milev and Valerio Aboian at the Plovdiv 3 tournament will be over or under 2.5 sets. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Yanaki Milev vs. Valerio Aboian: Total Sets O/U 2.5” resolving as true. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the total sets played in that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Yanaki Milev and Valerio Aboian in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Valerio Aboian. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Yanaki Milev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of numerous independent traders. If there’s a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Yanaki Milev vs Aboian match. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The current volume indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Yanaki Milev vs Aboian match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the event. Traders who hold shares in the winning outcome will receive a payout of 1 USDC per share, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will receive nothing. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly following the event's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could all cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or even pre-match analysis from respected commentators could also move the market. A strong performance by either Yanaki Milev or Valerio Aboian in a preceding match, or even a change in betting odds at sportsbooks, could also shift sentiment and impact trading volume.