TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 7:24 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3 will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to the outcome of “Plovdiv 3: Completed Match: Valerio Aboian vs Sebastian Sorger”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match schedule and results following the originally scheduled start time of September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET, as this will determine if the match is completed and the market resolves.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Sebastian Sorger. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Sorger' if Sebastian Sorger advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and their own risk assessment, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading on their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, especially when public opinion differs from expert analysis. Comparing the odds can be a useful exercise for informed bettors, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees of the final result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and changing sentiment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Polymarket, and traders can use this information to assess the perceived likelihood of either Valerio Aboian or Sebastian Sorger winning the match.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Plovdiv 3 match between Valerio Aboian and Sebastian Sorger. The platform will rely on widely available and trusted sources to determine the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement process. Traders should monitor official announcements from the relevant sporting authorities for updates on the match and its final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected announcements about either Valerio Aboian or Sebastian Sorger’s form or strategy could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed bettors could signal new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price adjustments in this market.