TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 9:55 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Federico Iannaccone in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Valerio Aboian and Federico Iannaccone in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valerio Aboian' if Valerio Aboian advances against Federico Iannaccone. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Valerio Aboian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk appetites. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information more quickly than sportsbooks, especially when new developments occur that aren’t immediately reflected in traditional odds.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Plovdiv 3 match between Valerio Aboian and Federico Iannaccone. The platform will verify the result against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Sep 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or strategic announcements from either Valerio Aboian or Federico Iannaccone could shift market sentiment. Unexpected results in related matches or tournaments could also impact trader confidence and lead to price fluctuations. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the players’ relative chances of winning has the potential to move this market.