TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 2:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Nesterov and Yanaki Milev in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Yanaki Milev. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Petr Nesterov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Nesterov and Yanaki Milev in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Nesterov' if Petr Nesterov advances against Yanaki Milev. This market will resolve to 'Yanaki Milev' if Yanaki Milev advances against Petr Nesterov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $68,499, while sportsbooks set fixed odds using their own models and risk assessments. The two can diverge due to different pricing mechanisms and information flow. Traders often see sharper movements in this market as new data emerges, especially ahead of key fight developments or training updates. Comparing the two provides insight into where public and trader confidence currently lies.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the officially declared winner of the match, and the market will settle accordingly based on that final determination.
Several signals could shift this market before Sep 7, 2026. Updates on fighter injuries, training camp progress, or changes to fight strategy often influence trader sentiment. Media appearances, social media engagement, and betting trends may also create volatility. Any last-minute substitutions or rule changes would dramatically reshape expectations. As the event approaches, near-term news and momentum swings will most strongly affect pricing on Polymarket.