TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 2:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Brunclik and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Petr Brunclik advances against Sebastian Sorger. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Sorger' if Sebastian Sorger advances against Petr Brunclik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Brunclik and Sebastian Sorger in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Petr Brunclik advances against Sebastian Sorger. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Sorger' if Sebastian Sorger advances against Petr Brunclik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect aggregated trader sentiment rather than set odds from bookmakers. In this market, the probability assigned to each fighter can move rapidly with new information, such as training updates or betting trends. Traders may see value discrepancies between the two, especially if public betting skews one way while sharp money favors the other.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set prices through a decentralized mechanism where each user’s buy and sell orders determine the current implied probability. The top outcome’s chance reflects the balance of all open orders and recent trades. Liquidity can shift quickly with major news, altering the market’s price dynamics and attracting both retail and sophisticated participants.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the winner, which is then automatically matched to the market’s predefined outcomes. No manual intervention is needed once the fight’s result is publicly confirmed and reported by trusted news outlets.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates, changes to training schedules, pre-fight media events, and betting volume spikes from large traders. Any announcement affecting fighter readiness or public perception—such as a recent win, controversy, or performance metric—may cause rapid re-pricing. Traders will also watch for line movements on sportsbooks, which can influence sentiment and guide market direction.