TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 10:35 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Gabriele Piraino will complete the match against Dusan Obradovic at Plovdiv 3. On Polymarket, the current probability for the match being completed is 100%. The outcome will be resolved using official ATP Tour match results from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. The specific match in question is scheduled to conclude by September 7, 2026, and any developments or updates around this date will be crucial for the market's resolution.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriele Piraino and Dusan Obradovic in the Plovdiv 3, originally scheduled for August 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Piraino' if Gabriele Piraino advances against Dusan Obradovic. This market will resolve to 'Dusan Obradovic' if Dusan Obradovic advances against Gabriele Piraino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect the collective wisdom of traders rather than set odds from bookmakers. In this market, traders actively buy and sell contracts based on their beliefs about who will win, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing than standard sportsbook lines. For example, if public sentiment shifts dramatically, this market may move faster than sportsbook odds, offering a different perspective on fighter prospects.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, which is then matched against the market’s listed outcomes. Once confirmed, all positions are settled automatically based on the verified result.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including pre-fight media appearances, training updates, injury reports, or changes in betting patterns. Any news that affects the perceived strength or strategy of either fighter can cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds. Additionally, broader trends like changes in fighting style or crowd sentiment may also influence market movements as the event approaches.