TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 7:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Iannaccone and Peter Fajta in the Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Peter Fajta. This market will resolve to 'Peter Fajta' if Peter Fajta advances against Federico Iannaccone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Iannaccone and Peter Fajta in the Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Iannaccone' if Federico Iannaccone advances against Peter Fajta. This market will resolve to 'Peter Fajta' if Peter Fajta advances against Federico Iannaccone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often show sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity and can diverge from sportsbook prices due to different risk models and participant pools. While sportsbooks may incorporate broader factors like public betting trends, this market prices in the collective wisdom of its users. The resulting probability can appear more volatile or more stable depending on recent trading patterns and volume. Traders should compare this market’s current implied probability to sportsbook odds to spot potential value differences.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s winner or other defined result following the bout’s conclusion, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.
Between now and Sep 8, 2026, several signals could shift this market. Key updates include fighter injuries, training camp progress reports, changes to fight strategy or weight class, and any media appearances that affect public perception. Betting volume spikes following news coverage or social media buzz may also sway prices. As the event date approaches, insider insights from coaches or promoters can create short-term volatility. Traders should monitor credible sports news outlets and official fight organization announcements for any developments that might impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome.