TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 10:14 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Brunclik and Lorenzo Carboni in the Plovdiv 2, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Petr Brunclik advances against Lorenzo Carboni. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Petr Brunclik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Petr Brunclik and Lorenzo Carboni in the Plovdiv 2, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Petr Brunclik' if Petr Brunclik advances against Lorenzo Carboni. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Carboni' if Lorenzo Carboni advances against Petr Brunclik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds on this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to community-driven pricing and unique betting dynamics. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on analytics and historical data, prediction markets reflect the collective wisdom of participants, which can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value gaps, keeping in mind that prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment shifts not always captured by sportsbook models.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants set odds based on their expectations for the fight outcome. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate bets placed, with liquidity levels influencing how prices adjust. As new information emerges — such as fighter injuries or training updates — traders react, causing fluctuations in the market’s probability distribution. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments ahead of the event.
This market resolves around Aug 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s conclusion, which is then matched against the market’s defined outcomes. As long as the match occurs within the scheduled timeframe and its result is publicly confirmed, the market will settle accordingly, providing a clear and transparent resolution for all participants.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including injury updates, training performance highlights, changes in betting volume, and media coverage influencing public perception. Any announcement regarding fight conditions, such as weight class adjustments or rule changes, may also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, broader trends like geopolitical factors or venue issues — if they affect either fighter’s preparation — can cause noticeable movement in the market’s odds as the event draws nearer.