TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 23, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether specific National Football League quarterbacks appear in every scheduled game of the regular season, excluding bye weeks. Participants must participate in at least one offensive play per game to qualify, regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty. The requirement applies only to games occurring after the player joins their respective team roster.
Each market evaluates whether a designated quarterback participates in every regular-season game for their team during the 2026-27 NFL season, with bye weeks excluded. To resolve as 'Yes,' the player must take at least one snap in each game they are on the active roster for, even if the snap is nullified by penalty. snaps taken in games occurring before the player joins the team, including via trade or roster transaction, do not count toward fulfilling the requirement. All markets share identical participation criteria and exclusion rules, applied uniformly across all 36 quarterbacks listed.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects sharper adjustments based on real-time trading activity. While analysts may issue broad projections, traders on Kalshi price in nuanced factors like recent form, injury updates, and schedule difficulty. This can create noticeable gaps — for example, the market might assign a lower chance to a heavily favored player if undisclosed setbacks surface, diverging from consensus expert views.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts, with prices adjusting instantly to balance supply and demand. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate view of all participants, updated continuously throughout trading hours. Volume of $0 over the last 24 hours shows how actively the market is being traded, with spikes often following major news or performance updates.
This market resolves around Jan 19, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Each player’s weekly appearances will be checked against official league records to determine whether they meet the requirements for the full regular season.
Injuries, coaching decisions, or unexpected roster changes could sharply move this market as the season unfolds. Strong early-week performances might boost a player’s chances, while controversies or fatigue could depress them. Public statements from team officials, trade rumors, and weekly depth-chart releases also influence trader sentiment. All these factors will be priced in gradually, leading to volatility until resolution around Jan 19, 2027.