TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 68M
- Kalshi
Above 68M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 11, 2026
Closed: Jul 11, 8:31 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the total worldwide streaming performance of Playboi Carti during the week of July 3-9, 2026. Streaming data is aggregated across all major digital music platforms globally and published by Luminate Data within approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by Playboi Carti's total worldwide streams during the July 03 - July 09, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data. The event features tiered thresholds ranging from 63 million to 73 million streams, with each threshold representing a separate resolution criterion. Data is published up to approximately 48 hours after the tracking week concludes. Luminate Data serves as the neutral provider of streaming metrics and does not endorse or participate in market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than static reports. Traders in this market are directly rewarded for accuracy, which can surface insights faster than periodic analyst updates. However, analyst reports and music industry data remain valuable reference points for validating market moves. If this market's odds shift sharply, comparing them to recent analyst commentary on streaming trends or artist momentum can help you identify whether the market is ahead of consensus or overreacting to noise.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects the market's collective belief in the probability of the event. As new information emerges—chart performance, playlist placements, or industry reports—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as more liquidity flows in, making it cheaper to enter or exit positions during high-volume periods.
This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether actual streaming data meets or falls short of the specified threshold for the relevant week. Once the resolution date passes and final figures are published, the market will settle automatically, and winning shares will be redeemed at full value. Traders should monitor official streaming platforms and industry data sources as the deadline approaches to anticipate the likely outcome.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before this market closes. A surprise album or single release, major playlist additions, or viral social media moments can drive streaming spikes. Chart performance, award nominations, or high-profile collaborations often correlate with streaming surges. Conversely, lack of new releases or reduced promotional activity might dampen expectations. Industry reports on streaming trends, changes in listener demographics, or shifts in platform algorithms can also influence how traders price the outcome. Monitoring music news, chart trackers, and the artist's social channels will help you stay ahead of market moves.
